News, Events and Media

    1. 2020-03-30

      Japan example of successful protection against uncontrolled spread of corona?

      Kenzo

      Germany and Japan are both affected by the Corona Virus, protection measures are being taken in both countries and intensive means are being sought to contain the spread.

      The development of the spread of the virus increasingly differentiates Germany and Japan from each other. Growth in Japan appears to be under control. In contrast, in Germany, where the first cases occurred much later than in Japan, the number of infected citizens is now 30 times higher than in Japan. In Germany (as of March 25, 2020), 439 people are infected per million inhabitants, and 8.2 people in Japan at the same time. With its extremely high population density (Japan 340 people per km2, Greater Tokyo with 38 million inhabitants: 2740 people per km2, Germany 230 per km2 for comparison), Japan would actually be predestined for a rapid spread of the virus.

      The fact that Japan actually presents a virus infection growth curve that is essentially flatter than that of Germany may essentially have one reason in the fact that Japan decided at a very early stage to slow down social activities, starting with the decision to close school on Feb. 29, at a time when only 206 confirm cases of Corona virus were registered. In Germany it took until March 13 and 3,062 confirmed cases to come to the same decision.

      The following two charts show:
      • The actual development of confirmed Corona virus infection cases
      • The actual development as persons per 1 Million Citizens
      • The development comparing Germany and Japan under the assumption that after raising full awareness of the danger each infected person infect 1.5 people with Japan starting in cycle 1 with 206 confirmed cases and Germany in cycle two with 3,062 confirmed cases

      The completely different hygienic behavior and the high level of awareness of the danger, combined with disciplined compliance with the regulations, obviously restrict the virus from spreading in Japan. In addition, there is probably also the form of mutual greeting without physical contact. Placing the shoes on the front door also contributes to cleanliness and sterility in the apartments. The extreme closeness in living together may have always been the reason for a very high level of hygiene awareness. This awareness and disciplined may well be the reason why the developments in Japan are even flatter than shown in below third chart which assumes the same infection rate of 1.5 for German and Japan after school closure.

      (Enclosed graphic of Japan and Germany in comparison; sources: Japan Ministry for Health Labour and Welfare; Germany Bundesministerium für Gesundheit, Robert Koch Institut)

      Japan example of successful protection against uncontrolled spread of corona? – Summary

    2. 2019-01-09

      Kenzo team joins PATRIZIA to realize its founding vision

      Kenzo

      Kenzo Capital Corporation (Tokyo) and Kenzo Japan Real Estate GmbH (Munich) have agreed to
      join forces with PATRIZIA, the global partner for pan-European real estate investment. The move will accelerate the development of Kenzo into the number one competence centre for Japan real estate investments for European institutional investors. This has been the vision of Kenzo Capital Corporation since its founding.

      This acquisition of Kenzo’s assets by PATRIZIA will provide Japanese institutional investors with improved opportunities to diversify into European real estate via PATRIZIA’s successful and highly respected pan- European platform. The management of Kenzo had been on the lookout for a trusted, experienced and committed partner to serve key Japanese institutional investors in the European markets and has found this partner in PATRIZIA.

      Kenzo Capital Corporation, the Tokyo-based real estate advisory and asset management firm, as well as the fund management and placement firm Kenzo Japan Real Estate GmbH will sell their business and operation to PATRIZIA. Under the leadership of Dr Leonard Meyer zu Brickwedde, President and CEO
      of Kenzo Capital Corporation, the team of Kenzo will move to the newly established PATRIZIA Japan KK and continue its present business within PATRIZIA.

      Dr Leonard Meyer zu Brickwedde: “In PATRIZIA we have found the right partner to enable Japanese institutional investors, with whom we have longstanding relationships, to invest in European real estate. Equally, PATRIZIA recognises KENZO as a competence centre through which its European clients are able to invest in Japan thereby growing the Kenzo Japan Residential fund we jointly launched in 2017.”

      Wolfgang Egger, founder and CEO of Patrizia Immobilien AG: “Through working with Kenzo over the past two years, building up the Kenzo Japan Residential Fund together and growing the fund as its fund administrator, we recognised the team’s high-quality work, market experience and network and acknowledged Kenzo as a trusted partner to the real estate investment community. This has triggered our decision to further advance the relationship and start our new subsidiary PATRIZIA Japan KK and business in Japan on the foundations that KENZO has prominently set in the Japanese real estate market.”

      About Patrizia AG
      PATRIZIA Immobilien AG has been active as an investment manager in the real estate market across Europe for more than 35 years. PATRIZIA’s activities include the acquisition, management, repositioning and sale of residential and commercial real estate through its own licensed investment platforms. As a global partner for pan-European real estate investment, PATRIZIA operates as a respected business partner of large institutional investors and retail investors in all major European countries. PATRIZIA manages around EUR 40 billion of real estate assets, primarily as an investment manager for insurance companies, pension fund institutions, sovereign funds, savings and cooperative banks and as co- investor. For further information, please visit: www.patrizia.ag

      About Kenzo
      Kenzo Capital Corporation was established on 28 August 2008 as a platform to carry out investment advisory services and asset management in Japanese real estate. Its target clients are foreign real estate investors, particularly German- speaking. The nine-strong team – together with Kenzo Japan Real Estate GmbH as fund manager – provides advice to the fund that was launched in Germany in cooperation with PATRIZIA in 2017 and which presently has around EUR 150m of Japanese real estate assets under management, please visit: www.ken-zo.com

    3. 2018-10-02

      10 Years Kenzo – Success in Japan with residential real estate

      Kenzo

      Dr. Meyer zu Brickwedde, why did you start Kenzo Capital Corporation 10 years ago?

      I took this step because at that time, the Japanese real estate market became ready for the arrival of central European, long-term oriented core investors. I wanted to advise and support these institutional investors.

      What do you mean by the market became “ready”?

      The Japanese real estate market is very young. For a long time, the market was almost entirely in the hands of Japanese companies and individuals. Real estate was held as an investment, but without
      the intention and ability to maximize returns. Only since the year 2000, institutional investors became active. When I built up a team for structured real estate financing at HypoVereinsbank, only opportunistic investors such as US hedge funds and investment banks invested. In 2001, Japan launched the new segment for listed mutual funds in real estate. These J-REITs are legally required to reveal all information about the evolution of their investments and their portfolios. As a result, transparency gradually improved until the Japanese market in 2007 received the rating “transparent” in the Real Estate Market Transparency Index Jones Lang Lasalle. That was the starting signal for Kenzo.

      In retrospect, the timing could have been better. How did Kenzo develop?

      At first, we were stopped by the Lehman crash. Real estate sales plummeted and US investors left Japan. As soon as this dry spell ended, the tsunami catastrophe in Fukushima and East Japan in the spring of 2011 caused negative headlines. Investors from Germany and Europe cancelled planned investments because they feared a price erosion. Prices remained stable even in the six months immediately following the disaster, though. In the residential real estate area, prices even rose.

      What lessons did you learn with Kenzo from those difficult times?

      We realized back then that we should not only advise investors because this makes us dependent on decisions which may be taken in isolation from the Japanese market. This insight led us to initiate the Kenzo Japan Residential Fund. The launching of such a fund was in my mind anyway. When managing the fund, we still need investor approval, but now we are actively involved in their decisions.

      Why did you choose residential real estate as the focus of Kenzo?

      First, residential real estate rewards the investor in Japan with a 4% to 4.5% return. That’s about 1 to 1.5 points above office yields in Japan. Second, residential returns are much more stable than office returns. Third, investment risks can be more easily diversified with residential property. A small entry into the office market in the business districts of central Tokyo requires 250-350 million euros and one competes with many other bidders. Residential is completely different. We invest 10-25 million euros in one object and have the choice between good locations in the five metropolitan centers Tokyo, Osaka, Nagoya, Fukuoka and Sapporo.

      What about the demographic change in Japan – it does not contradict an investment in residential property?

      Japan’s population is aging and shrinking. That is undeniable. But there are opposing trends, in particular urbanization. Japan’s metropolitan areas continue to grow: young rural Japanese are looking for work there, older Japanese people in the countryside move closer to shopping malls and medical care. There is also an increasing number of foreign workers coming to Japan. Our fund invests in affordable housing and is therefore a beneficiary of this strong and long-term change.

      The Kenzo Japan Residential Fund has been well received by investors. How do you explain this success?

      Indeed, half of the equity has already been committed and we have invested 150 million euros so far. By mid-2019 we will reach 250 million euros. The explanation for this success is quite simple: the market is very attractive and the general environment very positive. The government is stable and pro-business oriented. We have full employment in Japan. Deflation has been overcome thanks to the monetary policy of the Bank of Japan. Salaries are rising and rents increasing. The equity ratio of real estate investments is also very solid at 35-40%. Core margins have fallen, but remain attractive by international standards. In the residential sector, you continue to earn significantly more here than in other markets.

      In retrospect: What was the most exciting experience of the last ten years?

      That is certainly the recognition of our strategy by our Japanese partners. The Japanese appreciate very much that we are bringing long-term, stable capital from Europe. One expression of this trust is the Japanese German Roundtable on Real Estate, which was initiated by the Deputy Minister of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. The Ministry provides for the Japanese and Kenzo for the German participants. This roundtable with top managers from both countries takes place this year for the eighth time. This roundtable also proofs that Japan has opened up to the outside world – for international capital and investors as well as for tourists and guest workers. For example, the number of foreign visitors of Japan has increased fivefold since 2011 and the number of foreign workers in Japan has doubled since 2012.

      And where do you see Kenzo in ten years?

      I founded Kenzo 10 years ago with the vision of creating the competence center for Japan real estate investments for Central European investors. I think in ten years we will have achieved that goal and
      have become the most recognized investor and advisor to this market. Of course, there are institutional investors who are looking for someone to do everything for them everywhere worldwide. But for investors who prefer a specialist advisor and asset manager, we are the ideal partner.

      What makes you so confident?

      We focus solely on the Japanese market and our advisory activities are focused solely on German- speaking institutional investors. Our company also has the knowledge under which legal and regulatory conditions these investors can invest in Japan. We also know how risk-averse or risk-friendly their money invested with us is. That’s why we can serve each individual investor. No other than Kenzo offers this added value.

    4. 2018-09-03

      Investment pioneer strengthens Kenzo team

      Kenzo

      Kenzo Capital Corporation is adding a Chief Investment Officer to its management team. Mr. Takehiko Uehara, an experienced finance specialist, will take over the newly created position on 1 September.

      “I am very pleased that with Mr. Uehara we have been able to win a real pioneer in the Japanese real estate sector for us,” said Dr. Leonard Meyer zu Brickwedde, President and CEO of Kenzo Capital Corporation.

      As Chief Investment Officer, Mr. Uehara will be responsible for investment, underwriting, asset and portfolio management as well as – in conjunction with the President and CEO – developing and implementing the Kenzo investment strategy for Japan’s complex but lucrative real estate market. Dr. Meyer zu Brickwedde will concentrate more on servicing investors.

      Most recently, Mr. Uehara was Deputy President & COO of Genkei Capital Management, a renowned real estate asset management company. From 2008 to 2016, Uehara headed the Japanese subsidiary of German Hypo Real Estate (later Deutsche Pfandbriefbank). In 2004, he was appointed Head of Real Estate Structured Finance and served as Deputy to then President Dr. Meyer zu Brickwedde.

      “Together, we have built Hypo Real Estate Japan into the largest non-Japanese real estate balance sheet financier and achieved an annual lending volume of 250 billion yen (2 billion euros) in 2006 and 2007,” recounted Meyer zu Brickwedde.

      During that period, Uehara has achieved many breakthroughs and accomplishments. These included:

      • the largest ever mezzanine real estate loan issued in Japan;
      • one of the very first non-recourse real estate loan financing in Japan at a time when Japanese banks were not yet available for this purpose;
      • the only refinancing of a Japanese real estate loan portfolio to date via a German Pfandbrief – for which Mr. Uehara developed a structure for the admission of Japanese credit claims into a Pfandbrief cover pool;
      • one of the two first and for many years only invitation of a foreign bank to finance a real estate deal in Japan by one of the largest Japanese developers.

      “I am therefore convinced that with Mr. Uehara as Chief Investment Officer, we can increase our services for investors and serve our clients even more,” Meyer zu Brickwedde said.

      Investment pioneer strengthens Kenzo team – Summary

    5. 2018-01-09

      Seven good reasons to invest in Japanese real estate now

      Kenzo

      2017 has been a good year for Japan – First German Spezialfonds for Japan Estate launched

      The spirit of optimism sparked by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in 2013 has now spread throughout Japan. All sectors of Japanese society are pulling together to once again make their nation a leading economic force.
      Japan’s leading share index, the Nikkei 225, rose by 19% in 2017, thanks mainly to foreign investors, who helped propel it to its highest level since the beginning of 1992.

      It was amid this positive atmosphere that the Kenzo Japan Residential Fund was launched in July – the rst German real estate Spezialfonds (fund targeting institutional investors) interested in Japanese residential properties.

      In our opinion, 2018 will be another good year for Japanese real estate.

      First, some important background information: Even though Japan real estate prices have recently reached levels similar to that seen during the 2007/8 real estate boom (see below chart), the environment then contrasted dramatically from the one of today. Those differences are illustrated by the following
      seven factors:

      1. Japan’s elite pursues a vision of the future

      For the rst time in decades, Japanese bureaucrats, managers and politicians share a common vision – 3 to modernize the economy and establish Japan as a leading global player.

      Under the slogan “Society 5.0”, Japan intends to harness digitization as a means to accelerate globalization and to address the challenges posed by the country’s rapidly aging population.

      Once a consensus has been reached among, there is every indication that it will be implemented smoothly and consistently in terms of policy. By contrast, the Japan of ten years ago was politically weak and divided.

      An example of this new, consistent, approach is the decline in the proportion of reciprocal shareholdings held by enterprises. According to the investment bank Nomura, the rate had shrunk to around 10% by the end of March 2017.

      By contrast, the gure stood at 50% a decade ago. This means that the companies of today are almost free of con icts of interest as they plan their future strategy.

      2. The long economic upswing will continue

      In each of the seven quarters from Q1 2016 to Q3 2017, Japan’s real gross domestic product (GDP) grew compared to the previous quarter, marking the second longest period of recovery in the post-war period.

      In 2017, nominal GDP rose to a record high, and Japan’s government expects real GDP growth of 1.8% in 2018.

      In just under ve years, the Bank of Japan has bought more than 40% of Japanese government bonds and, in so doing, chased away the specter of state insolvency. Contrast that with the situation ten years ago, when high levels of government debt made headlines around the world.

      3. Japan’s economic strength nally recognized

      Japan’s experience proves that economic growth is possible in a country with an aging and declining population, according to Daniel Gros, Director of the Centre for European Policy Studies (Source).

      As evidence, Gros cites gures showing that since 2000, Japan’s GDP has risen annually by just under 2%, if calculated per person of working age (15-64 years). This growth rate was twice as high as in the US.

      Gros says Japan accomplished this feat because almost 80% of its working population is in employment. In Europe and the US, the share is lower, at about 70%. The situation in Japan was very different ten years ago, when it was regarded as the “sick man” of the global economy.

      4. Political stability expected beyond the 2020 Olympics

      Prime Minister Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party won a resounding election victory in October 2017 – a result that again gave his coalition government a two-thirds majority in both houses of parliament.

      Voters have given Abe another four years to continue his economic reforms – known as “Abenomics” – up to and beyond the Tokyo 2020 Olympics.

      For investors, this means a stable economic and political landscape over the long term. This contrasts with the instability of a decade ago, when Japanese prime ministers came and went so frequently that people were barely given enough time to remember their names.

      5. Japan shakes off de ation

      Despite rising US interest rates and the European Central Bank’s decision to taper monetary stimulus, Japan’s central bank intends to maintain its extremely expansionary monetary policy until de ation is nally erased. The in ation rate climbed to 0.9% in November, the 11th consecutive monthly rise.

      As a result of the continuing labor shortages, 2018 is expected to see stronger wage increases than before, and the long coveted virtuous cycle of higher prices, rising wages and healthier household consumption and capital expenditure is expected to be set in motion, albeit slowly. Ten years ago, by contrast, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates too early, and was later forced to correct itself.

      6. Long-term oriented real estate investors dominate

      Domestic investors are shaping Japan’s real estate market. Increasing in ows of capital come from domestic institutional investors, including insurance companies and pension funds, both of which invest in the long term.

      This trend is supported politically, as the government calls on pension funds to change their risk orientation. This demonstrates a signi cant departure from the situation 10 years ago, when the market was dominated by short-term investments by overseas players.

      7. Real estate investments are nanced conservatively

      For some time, borrowed funds have nanced 60% to 70% of real estate transactions in Japan, which means they rest on solid foundations. That is a signi cantly lower proportion than the 80% to 95% of deal volumes nanced with outside funds and securitized on the capital market seen ten years ago.

      Our conclusion:
      The current investment environment for Japanese real estate is far better than that during the mini-boom of ten years ago. There can be no talk of a bubble in the current context.

      Rather, we expect a further rise in real estate prices in the coming years and a decline in risk premiums on real estate investments, despite rising rents in the residential and of ce sectors.

      Our con dence in this environment is re ected by the Kenzo Japan Residential Fund, which on December 21 successfully acquired four more properties and increased its investment volume by JPY 4 billion (EUR 33 million).

      As part of our Active Asset Management Strategy, we acquired three residential properties in Tokyo comprising 80 residential and ve retail units. The fourth property containing 90 apartments, at risk class core, is located in Osaka.

      The investment pipeline is already primed with up to JPY 6 billion (EUR 50 million) for our next purchase, scheduled for the rst quarter of 2018.

      Seven good reasons to invest in Japanese real estate now – Summary

    6. 2018-01-09

      日本の不動産に今投資すべき7つの理由

      Kenzo

      日本経済、そしてこのほど組成された日本不動産初めての独国スペシャルファンド(Spezialfonds) にとって素晴らしい年となった2017年

      2013年に光り輝き始めた安倍首相による楽観主義の精神は、今日本全土に広がりました。この国を世界の中でもう一度経済的に最先端勢力とすべく、日本社会のあらゆる方面が連携しています。

      日本の主要株価指数である日経平均株価は2017年に19%上昇しました。1992年以来の株価高水準に押し上げた海外投資家の寄与によるところが大きいでしょう。

      そんな前向きな空気の中、ケンゾージャパンレジデンシャルファンド-住宅不動産に特化した日本不動産始めての独国スペシャルファンド、(Spezialfonds-機関投資家向けファンド)-は2017年6月に組成されました。

      私どもの見解では、2018年は日本不動産にとってまたしても良い年となるでしょう。

      背景となるいくつかの重要な事実:日本不動産の価格は2007年・2008年の不動産ブームの頃の水準(下記表を参照)に達しているものの、今日それを取り巻く環境は劇的なほどに対照的で、以下の7の要因によってその違いが示されています。

      1. 将来のビジョンを追求する日本の優れた人材

      日本の官僚、管理職そして政治家たちはこの数十年で始めて共通のビジョンを持ちました。経済をより近代化し、 日本を主導的なグローバルプレーヤーとして確立させるためです。
      Society 5.0のスローガンの下、急激な高齢化によって顕在化した問題に対処する為、またグローバリゼーションを 加速させる意味で、日本はデジタル化を図っています。

      コンセンサスが得られれば、円滑また継続的にそのための政策導入が図られるであろう多くの兆候があります。対照的に、数十年前の日本は政治的に脆弱で散開していた。

      例として、この新たな整合性のあるアプローチは企業が保有する相互株式保有率を低下させます。

      また対照的に、10年前での相互株式保有率は50%に及びました。これは、将来の戦略策定をする際、今日の企 業は利益相反のリスクから自由となった事を意味します。

      2. 継続する長期的な景気の回復

      2016年の第1四半期から2017年の第3四半期までの7四半期において、日本の国内総生産(GDP)は前四 半期に対して毎四半期成長し、戦後第二の長さとなる景気回復期となっている。

      2017年に名目GDPは記録的に上昇し、日本政府は2018年の実質GDPの予測を1.8%の成長としています。

      約5年前、日本銀行は40%超に上る日本国債の買い入れを行い、そうすることによって、国家破綻という幻影を 一掃しました。対照的に10年前の当時の状況では、国家の高い債務レベルは世界中の紙面をにぎわせました。

      3. 遂に認識された日本経済の強さ

      「日本の経験は高齢化及び人口減少の局面においてでも国は経済成長しうることを証明した」-欧州政策研究センター所長ダニエル・グロス(出典).

      その証拠として、グロスは2000年より日本のGDPは、労働年齢(15歳から64歳)一人当たりで計算すると、年間やや2%を下回る水準で成長し続けていることを引用した。この成長率は実に米国の2倍になります。

      グロスは 、労働人口のほぼ80%が雇用についていることによって日本はこの偉業を遂げたと言っています。欧州及び米国でのそれは低く、約70%にとどまります。10年前の日本での状況は大きく違い、日本経済は グローバル経済の中の「病人」とみなされました。

      4. 2020年オリンピックを超えて期待される政治的安定

      安倍首相率いる自由民主党は、2017年10月に選挙の勝利を勝ち取り、結果として連立与党政権に衆参両院に おいて三分の二に及ぶ過半数を与えることとなった。

      有権者は安倍首相に「 アベノミクス」として知られる経済改革を2020年のオリンピック後も継続させるため更に4年の任期を与えました。

      投資家たちにとって、これは長期的な経済と政治の安定を意味します。これは10年前の不安定さとは対照的で、当時の首相は入れ代わり立ち代わりで、有権者たちは彼らの名前を覚えることすらままならないほどでした。

      5. デフレを振り払う日本

      米国の利上げや欧州中央銀行による金融緩和縮小政策の決定にもかかわらず、日本銀行は極限にまで拡大して いる量的・質的金融緩和の政策をデフレーションの終わりまで維持しようとしています。2017年11月に経済 成長率は0.9%に上がり、これは11ヶ月連続の成長となりました。

      継続的な労働力不足は結果として、2018年には以前よりもさらに力強い賃金上昇、長期的な高い物価価格の 好循環、健全な家計消費やより大きな資本的支出が期待されており、この動きは緩やかながらも止まらないと されています。10年前は、対照的に、日本銀行はあまりにも簡単に利上げに踏み切り、後に軌道修正することを 強いられました。

      6. 優勢な長期的志向の不動産投資家

      日本の不動産市場は国内投資家によって形作られています。資本流入の増加は、保険会社や年金基金―両者とも長期投資を行います―を含む国内機関投資家からのものです。

      この傾向は政治的に支持されており、政府は年金基金のリスクオリエンテーションを変えるよう呼びかけました。これは10年前の状況からの脱却の重要な出発点で、当時の市場は海外からの短期志向の投資家に席巻されて いました。

      7. 保守的に融資を受ける不動産投資

      しばらくの間、日本での借入資金は不動産取引の60%から70%の担保掛け目で融資しており、これは彼らが堅実な基盤に頼っていることを意味しています。。これは10年前の資本市場に見られた外部資金で資金調達をし、証券化された不動産の80%から95%の担保掛け目をかなり下回る水準となっています。

      私達の結論:
      日本不動産を取り巻く今日の投資環境は、10年前にミニバブルと呼ばれた時期よりはるかに良いと言えるでしょう。 現在の状況下でこれが単なるバブルである可能性は有り得ないのではないでしょうか。

      住宅やオフィスの賃料上昇にもかかわらず、むしろ私達は来るべき数年においてさらなる不動産価格の上昇と不動産投資におけるリスクプレミアムの低下を期待しています。

      この環境における私たちの確信は、ケンゾージャパンレジデンシャルファンドによって反映され、またこのファンドは2017年12月21日さらに4棟の不動産取得に成功し、投資額が40億円(約3,300万ユーロ)増加しました。

      私たちのアクティブ資産運用戦略の一部として、東京で80戸の住居と5つのリテール向けユニットを含む3つの不動産を取得しました。4つ目は、90戸の住居を持つ投資リスクコアとなる大阪の不動産となりました

      2018年第一四半期に予定されている次の不動産取得において、投資パイプラインは既に60億円に達しています。

      日本の不動産に今投資すべき7つの理由 – Summary

    7. 2017-07-28

      Kenzo Japan Real Estate Fund successfully launched

      Kenzo

      The Japanese investment adviser and asset manager focusing on German investors, Kenzo Capital Corporation Inc., Tokyo, successfully launched the Kenzo Japan Residential Fund on July 28, 2017, with an initial investment in four apartment buildings for approximately EUR 30 million equivalent. Capital commitments by two initial investors over EUR 45 million are the cornerstone: a large Frankfurt investment management and consulting firm and a professional pension fund.

      The Kenzo Japan Residential Fund invests in the major metropolitan areas of Japan, mainly in Greater Tokyo and Greater Osaka, as well as in Nagoya and Fukuoka. Modern residential properties of the core risk class are supplemented by objects with an active management approach (Core Plus and Value Add). With this allocation of the fund plans an average annual distribution of 5% and a return on investment (IRR) of 8%, after sale in approximately 7 years. The total equity target volume of the fund is expected to reach around EUR 250 to 300 million, the investment volume is around EUR 480 to 550 million. The fund is denominated in yen, and is directed to institutional investors in Germany, mainly capital collectors such as utilities and insurance companies.

      Kenzo Capital Corporation Inc., Tokyo, is closely working with Haseko Real Estate Investment Management Inc., a member of Haseko Corporation, the largest Japanese residential construction company. In Germany, Kenzo is represented through “Kenzo Japan Real Estate GmbH” in Munich and was able to attract the leading real estate fund provider specialized in residential real estate, PATRIZIA Wohninvest Kapitalverwaltungsgesellschaft mbH, as the administrator of the fund.

      “Building upon the know-how and experience of our team, this mandate strengthens PATRIZIA’s competitive position in a market that is increasingly attractive to investors due to strong Japanese economic growth and political stability,” reports Dr. Sven Olaf Eggers, Managing Director of PATRIZIA WohnInvest Kapitalverwaltungsgesellschaft mbH, Augsburg, “We are planning a further expansion of our fund administration with the experience of this collaboration of specialists, who in part already know each other through Japanese investment business for more than a decade.”

      In the establishment of the Kenzo brand in the circle of German investors, Metzler Real Estate GmbH advises and assists Kenzo with regards to marketing strategy, set-up and management of the fund business. “Metzler’s good networking in both the German and Japanese capital and financial markets helps to do this,” says Bernd Sommer, Managing Director, Metzler Real Estate GmbH, Frankfurt.

      The investment structure – an open special AIF – has been developed by Rödl & Partner from a tax perspective. Clifford Chance has examined investment law compliance and KPMG’s tax concept in Japan.

      “The Japanese market offers a wide selection of excellent investment opportunities in residential real estate in its metropolises. In the case of core objects, we can, as a matter of experience, rely on stable earnings. Collaboration with Haseko gives us access to good opportunities to develop residential real estate in prime locations through active management back to core real estate. We are delighted to be able to provide such investment opportunities to German institutional investors with the Kenzo Japan Residential Fund,” says Dr. Leonard Meyer zu Brickwedde, President & CEO, Kenzo Capital Corporation, Tokyo. Since the end of the 1990’s, he has played an important role in the development of the institutional quality of the Japanese real estate market and today states: “The deal pipeline for possible further acquisitions is well filled”.

      Kenzo Japan Real Estate Fund successfully launched

    8. 2016-10-19

      Tokyo advances to Top 3 among Global Cities

      Kenzo

      The latest revision of the Global Power City Index (GPCI) has ranked Tokyo in 3rd place in its evaluation of the world’s major cities. Tokyo overtook Paris to make it into the top 3 for the first time.

      The GPCI first published in 2008 by The Mori Memorial Foundation’s Institute for Urban Strategies evaluates major cities in 6 categories, main functions representing city strength (Economy, Research and Development, Cultural Interaction, Livability, Environment, and Accessibility)

      The GPCI is created by a international research team of two groups of individuals: 1. The Committee, chaired by Heizo Takenaka (Professor of Toyo University) supervises the ranking creation process. It is comprised of six members, with the late Sir Peter Hall (Professor, University College London) as Principal Advisor. 2. The Working Group with experts from London, Amsterdam and California, headed by Hiroo Ichikawa (Professor Meiji University) performs the data collection and analysis to create the rankings for the cities

      London retains its top position, with New York in 2nd place.

      The institute says Tokyo’s score was boosted by an increase in the number of foreign visitors and more direct flights connecting the city with overseas destinations.

      Global Power City Index 2016 – Summary

    9. 2016-10-19

      Tokyo advances to Top 3 among Global Cities

      Kenzo

      The latest revision of the Global Power City Index (GPCI) has ranked Tokyo in 3rd place in its evaluation of the world’s major cities. Tokyo overtook Paris to make it into the top 3 for the first time.

      The GPCI first published in 2008 by The Mori Memorial Foundation’s Institute for Urban Strategies evaluates major cities in 6 categories, main functions representing city strength (Economy, Research and Development, Cultural Interaction, Livability, Environment, and Accessibility)

      The GPCI is created by a international research team of two groups of individuals: 1. The Committee, chaired by Heizo Takenaka (Professor of Toyo University) supervises the ranking creation process. It is comprised of six members, with the late Sir Peter Hall (Professor, University College London) as Principal Advisor. 2. The Working Group with experts from London, Amsterdam and California, headed by Hiroo Ichikawa (Professor Meiji University) performs the data collection and analysis to create the rankings for the cities

      London retains its top position, with New York in 2nd place.

      The institute says Tokyo’s score was boosted by an increase in the number of foreign visitors and more direct flights connecting the city with overseas destinations.

      Global Power City Index 2016 – Summary

    10. 2016-06-23

      Japan Real Estate rewards its investors

      Kenzo

      Analysis of IPD confirm a total return (income return and capital growth) by 86% over the 12 year period since January 2004 to December of 2015 in local JPY currency

      1. Office and Residential Markets

      The vacancy rate of Tokyo CBD 5 Wards reduced steadily since 2012 and reached to 4.0% at the end of 2015 despite of a large supply of new class A buildings in 2015.

      The decrease paused in Q1 of 2016 while the rent continued to increase, mainly because of the relocation of some huge occupiers to better and larger spaces. The vacancy rate started decreasing again in Q2 of 2016.

      New supply of Class A buildings in 2016 is expected to be almost the same level as in 2015 and many occupiers, such as trading companies and financial firms, are now planning to move to higher quality and larger spaces.

      We believe, that the continuing solid demands of occupiers will keep the vacancy rate at low levels and rents will continue to grow.

      Residential occupancy maintained at healthy levels above 95% and rent of each area in Greater Tokyo kept stable with some rent growth seen in some areas.

      2. Investment Market

      Asset under Management (AuM) of J-REITs and Private Funds continued to grow, reaching to JPY 28.8 trillion in December 2015 and increased by JPY 1.1 trillion (4%) for the year.

      Real estate transaction volume in 2015 was JPY 4.3 trillion, remaining at a high level though decreasing by JPY 0.7 trillion from 2014 which saw the highest level since 2008. J-REITs’ acquisition power weakened in Q4 of 2015, however J-REITs became active again in Q1 of 2016, with a transaction volume of JPY 552 Billion compared to Q1 2015 with JPY 496 Billion

      J-REITs dominated the market in Q1 of 2016, closing 23 deals priced at more than JPY 10 billion. In 2015 J-REITs closed 11 transactions priced over JPY 10 billion in the first Q, and 17 deals from Q2 to Q4.

      The largest J-REIT Transaction in Q1 2016 was a logistics facility in Greater Tokyo executed by LaSalle Logiport REIT at JPY 26.6 billion. All top ten transactions in Q1 2016 were either logistic and hotel properties.
      The largest office transaction in Q1 2016 was made by Hulic REIT. Hulic REIT, sponsored by a Mizuho Group, acquired a additional 30 % share of Hulic Kamiyacho Building in Minato Ward at JPY 16.7 billion.

      J-REITs acquired 12 apartment buildings all together amounting to JPY 42.3 billion in Q1 of 2016.

      Private finds and companies were less active, with only 4 deals priced at more than JPY 10 billion in Q1 of 2016 reported by Japanese media. They closed 13 deals priced over JPY 10 billion in the same quarter 2015, and 31 large transactions during Q2 to Q4 last year. US firm, Lone Star, acquired a residential portfolio from Saizen Real Estate Investment Trust at JPY 44.7 billion in Q1 of 2016. With this transaction, Saizen, a Singapore stock exchange listed REIT, soled its total portfolio consisting of 136 apartment buildings all over Japan. This deal followed soon after US Blackstone’s similar deal in Q4 last year. Blackstone acquired Japan Residential Investment Company, listed on the AIM section of the London Stock Exchange, who invested in 57 properties worth JPY 47 billion in Japan.

    11. 2015-12-11

      Private Households and Corporate Investment bring Japan back on Growth Track

      Kenzo

      All figures in %, annualized

      Japan is back on growth track. Following a weak Q2 2015 with negative growth, Japan returns to positive territory supported by a solid domestic demand.
      All areas of private domestic demand have seen growth in Q3 2015. Also exports have recovered well. Only the reduced inventory put pressure on the GDP result.

      The consumption and investments from private households was supported by overall growth in salary payments to employees which at the end of Q3 stood at an annualized JPY 262,6 trillion which was 0,7% more than in Q2 and 1,4% higher than one year before.
      A further indication of the overall confidence in the domestic market is the growth in bank lending which at the end of November 2015 stood at a total of JPY 493 Trillion, an increase of 2.4% compared to November 2014.
      According to a survey by the Bank of Japan among the 50 largest banks in Japans, lending demand from none-producing mid and small size companies is especially high. These firms serve to the domestic market.

      The government expects a 1.5% growth for the fiscal year 2015 (April to March 2016). Following a slow first quarter (Q2 2015) this may look optimistic, though the strength of the domestic demand will enjoy further backing by wages benefitting from increased seasonal bonuses again in Nov/Dec.

    12. 2015-08-13

      New Tax Treaty between Japan and Germany to promote Investment Flow between both Countries

      Kenzo

      On July 16, 2015 Japan and Germany communicated an agreement in principle on a new Tax Agreement.
      The Ministry of Finance Japan published on its homepage: “The new Agreement reduces taxes withheld at source on investment income (dividends, interest and royalties) to further promote the investment exchanges between the two countries.”

      Strong Labor Market:
      Success Ratio of Job Hunting by University Students hit Record High

      On August 7, 2015, Japanese Ministry of Education and Science and Technology (MEXT) announced that the success ratio of job hunting by university students graduated in March 2015 hit 72.6%, highest in the past 10 years. The last peak was 69.9% for students graduated in March 2008. In terms of volume, 409,754 newly university graduates secured job by March 2015, compared to 375,957 newly university graduates by March 2013. This confirms the labor market improvements triggered by the policy of the Abe government in the last two years.

      In fact, overall labor market in Japan has been improving considerably since Prime Minister Abe took office in December 2012. According to the labor market survey by the Government Statistics Bureau, employed persons (employees and self-employed) were 63.9 million in June 2015, compared to 62.5 million in December 2012. Thus, the number of employees has increased by 1.4 million in the past 2.5 years. The labor force (employed and job seekers) also increased significantly. The labor force in June 2015 was 66.1 million, compared to 65.3 million in December 2012. Unemployment rate declined to 3.4% in June 2015, compared with 4.3% in December 2012.

      Japanese Female flock the Labor Market as the Government promotes female Carrier and Management Opportunities

      Of particular note is the increasing role of female in the Japanese labor market. Of the 1.4 million increases in the employment above, female accounted for 1.2 million and male accounted for 0.2 million. Of the 0.8 million increases in the labor market participants, female accounted for 1 million and male accounted for minus 0.2 million. The increasing contribution of female in the recent labor market improvement is encouraging for the Japanese economy. It indicates the potential success of the government’s policy, motivating a significantly higher female contribution to the economy through improved carrier and management opportunities.

      Real Estate Market:
      Office demand remains strong with vacancies decreasing and rents improving

      The vacancy rate of Tokyo CBD 5 Wards descended to 5.1% in June 2015, still having further room to decrease considering the previous low of 2.7% recorded in 2007. The rents have increased 7 % from the bottom in 2013, remaining at a level of 80% from the 2008 peak.

      According to Japan Office Market View Q2 2015 by CBRE, rents rose in nearly all regional cites in Japan.

      Central Tokyo Grade A rents continue to rise at an accelerated pace. In our view this trend will continue and spread to other markets in Tokyo and regional cites as well.

      Residential Rents on the upswing

      The rent of Greater Tokyo started to grow in 2013 and continuedgrowing through June 2015.

      According to an apartment rent index prepared by Sumitomo MitsuiTrust Research Institute, rents in Greater Osaka, Nagoya, Fukuokaand Sapporo were stable and gradually increasing in Q1 2015.

      Transaction Volumes continue to grow; foreign Investors increase activities; growing investment activities reach regional cities

      In December 2014, J-REITs and Private Funds collectively held JPY 27.7 trillion in Assets under Management (AuM; a plus of JPY 300 billion since June 2014), While J-REITs grew by JPY 700 billion, Private Funds decreased AuM by JPY 400 billion. The outlook for Private Funds though is positive, according to Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute, there are a number of overseas investors looking to increase real estate investments in Japan.

      According to CBRE, Q1 2015 total transaction volume rose by 8.6% y-o-y to JPY 1.1 trillion. The increase was driven by a jump in acquisitions by overseas investors who along with a rise in transactions in the Greater Tokyo Area invested in regional cities. Acquisitions by J-REITs continued to drive market activity, accounting for 45% of all transactions by value. Overseas investors transaction volumes doubled in Q1 2015 from Q1 2014 to JPY 158 billion.

      A report named issued by CBRE shows J-REITs share of regional investments increased again to over 40% in 2014 (from 30%). Overseas investors increased their regional investment to 18% in 2014 (from only 8% in 2009).

    13. 2015-06-08

      MIPIM Japan starten ersten Auftritt in Tokyo in einem Umfeld positiver Wirtschafts- und Immobiliennachrichten

      Kenzo

      Die Erstveranstaltung der Immobilien-Fachmesse MIPIM Japan am 20. und 21. Mai in Tokio zog über 2.500 registrierte Besucher aus über 30 Ländern an. 335 Investoren und Finanzdienstleister diskutierten die Immobilieninvestmentmöglichkeiten in Japan. Insgesamt waren 596 Unternehmen vertreten, darunter 222 aus dem Ausland.
      Dies war bei weitem die größte auf Immobilien spezialisierte Veranstaltung in Japan. Der große Erfolg wird den Veranstalter, Reed Midem, in dem erklärten Ziel bestätigen, MIPIM Japan als jährliche Messeveranstaltung zu etablieren.

      Am Vortag der MIPIM Japan fand das erste Japan German Real Estate Investment Round Table Meeting statt, das Kenzo Capital Corporation unter der Schirmherrschaft der Deutschen Industrie- und Handelskammer in Japan und auf Initiative des Ministeriums für Land, Infrastruktur, Transport und Tourismus arrangieren und Moderieren durfte.
      Link:Artikel ‘Japanmarkt’
      Interview des Japan Journal mit Vize Minister für Land, Infrastruktur, Transport und Tourismus, Ishii Kisaburo zu den Themen Immobilieninvestitionen in Japan und Regierungspolitik zur Städteentwicklung.
      Link: Interview Vice Minister Ishii

      Transaktionsvolumen im Finanzjahr 2014 fast auf 2007 Niveau, zweithöchstes Volumen neben 2007, Anteil ausländischer Investments stieg auf 23%

      Nach einem Bericht von Urban Research Institute, einem Forschungsunternehmen der Mizuho Gruppe, betrug das Immobilien-Transaktionsvolumen im Finanzjahr 2014 (April 2014 bis März 2015) JPY 5,289 Milliarden. Es stieg damit gegenüber 2013 um 15 % und war fast so hoch wie das Transaktionsvolumen 2007 (JPY 5,328 Milliarden).
      Das Akquisitionsvolumen ausländischer Investoren stieg von JPY 429 Milliarden in 2013 auf JPY 1,195 Milliarden in 2014. Der Anteil ausländischer Investitionen am Gesamttransaktionsvolumen stieg von 10 % auf 23 %. Davon machten deutsche Investments etwas JPY 60 Milliarden aus, die ganz überwiegend von institutionellen Investoren über institutionelle Spezialfonds getätigt wurden. J-REITs kauften Immobilien im Werte von JPY 1,804 Milliarden, 4 % weniger als im Vorjahr. Der Anteil der J-REITs ging von 42 % auf 34 % zurück.
      Nennenswerte Großtransaktionen: GIC aus Singapur kaufte Pacific Century Place Marunouchi, ein Bürogebäude des Klasse S im zentralen Tokio zu einem Preis von JPY 170 Milliarden von PAG aus Hong Kong. PAG hat vor einem Jahr die Immobilienfinanzierungs-Tochter der Commerzbank übernommen, die das Gebäude ursprünglich finanziert hatte. Die Blackstone Gruppe aus US hat ein landesweit gestreutes Portfolio von Wohnimmobilien von einen Unternehmen der General Electric Gruppe zu einem Gesamtpreis von JPY 200 Milliarden gekauft. Mori Trust, ein japanischer Entwickler kaufte den Meguro Gajoen Komplex, der aus Bürogebäuden und einem Hotel besteht, außerhalb des unmittelbaren Zentrums von Tokio zu einem Preis von JPY 130 Milliarden von Lone Star aus den US. Die US Investmentgruppe Green Oak kaufte das Aoyama Building, ein Bürogebäude der Klasse B im zentralen Tokio zu einem Preis von JPY 46 Milliarden von einen Fonds der von Mitsubishi Estate Investment Advisor gemanagt wird.

      Zum Immobilienmarkt Japan: Japan Journal und Börsen-Zeitung

      Das BIP wuchs im ersten Quartal 2015 real um 3,9% (Jahresbasis, saisonbereinigt) nach 1.1% im Vorquartal (Jahresbasis)


      Japan annualized GDP change compared to previous Quarter and annualized contribution by sector

      Vorläufige BIP Zahlen, vom 20. Mai 2015: Die Zahlen zum privaten Konsum und zu privaten Investments bestätigen, dass die Ausgabenzurückhaltung der Privathaushalten, die eine Folge der Anhebung der Konsumsteuern im April 2014 war, überwunden ist. Der Nettoexport lag wegen starker Importnachfrage bei -0,7%. Der Trend der Zahlen zum BIP zeigen eine Wachstumsbeschleunigung an. Der starken Zuwachs bei Investitionen des gewerblichen Sektors und der Aufbau von Lagerbeständen deuten auf zunehmende Zuversicht hin, dass das Wachstum von Dauer sein wird.

      Japans Exporte steigen im April mit plus 8,2 %; aufgrund starker Importnachfrage fiel die Handelsbilanz mit minus JPY 53 Milliarden (nach plus JPY 227 Milliarden im Vormonat) negativ aus

      Handelszahlen vom 25. Mai 2015: Exporte stiegen erneut gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat mit plus 8.2% (JPY 6,551 Milliarden). Seit September 2014 hält der Trend steigender Exporte gegenüber dem Vorjahresmonat an. Dagegen waren die Importe seit Januar beständig niedriger als im Vorjahresmonat. Ursache hierfür sind fallende Ölpreise. Wir erwarten allerdings aufgrund steigender Inlandsnachfrage und wieder steigender Ölpreise eine Umkehr dieser Entwicklung bei Importen.

      Japans Steuereinnahmen steigen im Finanzjahr 2014 (März 2015) gegenüber dem Vorjahr um 12,5% und liegen damit auf dem höchsten Niveau seit 17 Jahren

      Nach einem Bericht der NHK Nachrichten vom 1. Juni 2015 stehen der japanischen Regierung Steuereinnahmen auf dem höchsten Niveau seit 17 Jahren zur Verfügung. Die Steuereinnahmen bis zum Ende des Finanzjahres 2014 (März 2015) lagen um 12,5% höher als im Vorjahr. Dies ist teilweise ein Ergebnis der Erhöhung der Umsatzsteuer von 5 auf 8% im April 2014. Die Umsatzsteuereinnahmen erhöhten sich im Finanzjahr 2014 um 30%. Gleichzeitig stiegen aber auch die Einnahmen aus Einkommensteuer um 8,2 % und die gewerblichen Steuereinnahmen um 14,8 %. Einkommen- und Gewerbesteuern machen zusammen deutlich über 50% der japanischen Steuereinnahmen aus. Die positive Entwicklung dieser Steuereinnahmen wird die Regierung in ihren Plan unterstützen, eine weitere Anhebung der Umsatzsteuern zu verschieben.

    14. 2015-06-05

      Great Success for the first MIPIM Japan coincides with solid economic development news

      Kenzo

      The inaugural MIPIM Japan in Tokyo on May 20/21 attracted more than 2,500 attendees from 30 countries. 335 investors and delegates from financial institutions focused their attention on the real estate investment opportunities available in Japan. 596 companies were represented, including some 222 from outside Japan.
      It was by far the largest real estate specific event devoted to the Japanese real estate market. The success will confirm the organizer (Reed Midem) in its strategy to establish MIPIM Japan as an annual event.

      Prior to MIPIM Japan a Japan German Real Estate Investment Round Table Meeting, engaging representatives of the Japanese real estate elite and German real estate investors was hosted by the German Chamber of Commerce in Japan, initiated by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism was organized and moderated by Dr. Meyer zu Brickwedde, President and CEO of Kenzo Capital Corporation.
      Link: Japan Journal & Japanmarkt

      Transaction volume in FY 2014 close to 2007 record high with foreign investments sharing 23% of the transaction volume

      According to Urban Research Institute, a Mizuho Group company, the real estate transaction volume during the fiscal year 2014 (April 2014 – March 2015), reached to JPY 5,289 Billion. It increased by 15 % compared to 2013 and thereby was almost at 2007 record volume (JPY 5,328 Billion) and the highest after 2007.
      Foreign Investor’s acquisition volume went up from JPY 429 Billion to JPY 1,195 Billion in 2014, the share of foreign investments increased from 10 % to 23 %. Among those foreign investments Germans accounted for JPY 60 Billion, mainly from institutional investors. J-REITs purchased properties worth JPY 1,804 Billion, down by 4 %. Its share decreased from 42 % to 34 %.
      Noteworthy transactions: GIC from Singapore bought Pacific Century Place Marunouchi, a Class S office building in the Tokyo CBD, at a price of JPY 170 Billion from a fund managed by PAG in Hong Kong, who acquired Commerzbank’s real estate finance subsidiary in Japan last year, that had originally financed the property. Blackstone Group from the US acquired a nationwide portfolio of residential properties from General Electric Group at JPY 200 Billion. Mori Trust, a Japanese developer, bought Meguro Gajoen, a complex consisting of offices and a hotel outside the Tokyo CBD, at JPY 130 Billion from Lone Star Group of the US. The US investment group Green Oak bought Aoyama Building, a Class B office building in the central Tokyo, at a price of JPY 46 Billion from a fund managed by Mitsubishi Estate Investment Advisor.

      Interview: Vice Minister for Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Ishii Kisaburo about real estate investment in Japan, the government’s policies for urban development
      Link: Interview Vice Minister Ishii

      Q1 2015 real GDP (seasonally adjusted) was up by 3.9% on an annual rate, compared to +1.1% in Q4 2014.


      Japan annualized GDP change compared to previous Quarter and annualized contribution by sector

      Q1 GDP released on June 8, 2015: corporate investment contributed 2.4%, compared with -0.8% contributions in Q4. It seems the drag in investments, both in residential and non-residential, that followed the consumption tax hike in April 2014, is finally over and its contribution turned distinctly positive. Net export contribution is -0.7% due to strong import. The trend of economic activity is clearly positive. Even after deduction of inventory and net export, final demand of Japanese economy is up 2.3%. Large inventory pile-up in Q1 may not be a bad sign. It could be interpreted as positive mind-setting among corporate sector given strong corporate investment.

      Japanese Exports increased 8.2% in April 2015 while trade balance in April 2015 was negative with JPY 53 billion, compared to the surplus of JPY 227 billion in March

      Released in May 25, 2015: Exports were up 8.2% from the same month last year (JPY 6,551 Billion). Since September 2014 monthly exports have been up from the same month one year ago. Monthly imports have been lower compared to last year’s months since January due to weaker oil prices. From here on, we expect imports to increase due to stronger domestic demand and higher oil prices.

      Japan’s tax revenues up in FY2014 by 12,5% hitting a 17-year high for fiscal 2014 (ending March 2015)

      According to NHK News on June 1, 2015, Japan’s tax revenues rose to a record high in over 17 years, benefitting partially from a hike in consumption tax that has been raised in April 2014 from 5% to 8%. Consumption tax revenues were up by 30%, but also income tax revenues increased by 8.2% and corporate tax revenues were higher by 14.8%. Income and corporate tax together contribute over 50% to the tax income of the Japanese government. The positive development of tax income in both areas will support the government’s intention to postpone a further consumption tax hike.

    15. 2015-03-25

      グローバル・ステージでの日本の不動産市場 - カンヌで注目を集めた日本のプレゼンテーションの成功につづき、MIPIM Japan が開催される

      Kenzo

      “多くの人が認識していないか若しくは十分に注目していないが、現在日本はとてつもないグローバリゼーションの波を経験している。日本企業の持つ展望、重点の置き方、そして優先順位は欧州企業のそれらとは明らかに違っている。日本の企業はそのターゲット・マーケット、特にアジアに狙いを定め著しいスピードでそのプレゼンスを拡大している。”これは日本のドイツ商工会議所のマネージング・ディレクター、マンフレッド・ホフマン氏がドイツのビジネス・コミュニティを代表して提出したペーパーの中の言葉である。

      これは不動産業界についても当てはまる。三井不動産や三菱地所は、欧州と米国でのビジネスの強化に引続き、アジアでの投資・不動産開発に焦点を当てている。森ビルのランドマーク、上海ワールド・ファイナンシャル・センターの他に多くの開発プロジェクトがアジア・パシフィック地域で取り組まれており、これからも増加基調にある。数日前、積水ハウスのシドニーにおける、ワン・セントラル・パーク・ビルディング開発プロジェクトがMIPIMにおいて、“ベスト・イノベーティブ・グリーン・ビルディング”賞を受賞した。

      外国投資或いは外国での不動産開発というトレンドは更に成長が続くと見込まれる。三菱地所ロンドンの社長・梅田直樹氏は、MIPIMのパネルディスカッション、“フォーカス・オン・ジャパン”で、「三菱地所は海外投資の比率を2020年までに現在の10%から20%に引き上げる」と言明した。

      同じコンフェレンスで、国土交通審議官・石井喜三郎氏は東京における幾つかの大規模インフラ・プロジェクトに加え、20件以上のランドマーク・プロジェクトを紹介した。「土地は確保されており、開発計画も確定しているが、実現には多くの資金が必要である」と石井氏は言う。

      安倍首相は年金基金や保険会社がポートフォリオ・アロケーションの中のリスク・アセットの比率を増やすように動機づけることに成功している。このうちの一部は不動産市場に向かうので、この市場を更に活気づけることになろう。

      MIPIMにおいて、日本は、三つのコンファレンス、日本パビリオンにおける幾多のプレゼンテーション-その中には東京都の飯塚義文氏による東京のワールド・ファイナンシャル・センター構想も含まれる-を通じて、外国投資家に日本の不動産市場を知ってもらう機会を設けた。この催しと、更に5月20、21日に予定されているMIPIM Japan により、日本は外国投資家の日本の不動産への投資を推進するという強い働きかけを行う。外国による日本への投資は、安倍政権の成長戦略の重要な柱の一つだ。

      今回、日本からの120人の代表団を率いた石井国土交通審議官と国土交通省は5月のMIPIM Japan のスポンサーである。これこそ、上述の日本の戦略を顕著に示すものだ。

      今回のMIPIMの“ジャパン・ブレークファスト”で、三井不動産の富川秀二氏(今年4月から三井不動産投資顧問の社長に就任予定)は、「クロス・ボーダー・インベストメントがMIPIM Japan の4つの主題のひとつになる」と述べた。彼のプレゼンテーションによれば、2014会計年度の最初の7カ月(すなわち、2014年4月~11月)で、日本の不動産市場における外国投資家のシェアは取引ボリュームの19%に達した、という。MIPIM Japan は、このシェアを維持し、更に引き上げる為の、取引機会とプロダクトの紹介の為のプラットフォームを提供することになろう。

      日本経済について:

      JPモルガン証券の株式調査部長、イェスパー・コール氏は日本の人口ピラミッドが現在最適点にあると見ている。「家計所得を牽引してきたベビーブーマー、つまり“ミック・ジャガー世代”がリタイアして、人口の多いベビーブーマー二世世代の所得が成長期に近づいている。」彼は、MIPIMでのジャパン・ブレークファストで更に続ける。「日本の企業はパート従業員を正社員化しつつある。従業員にとっては、これは所得の大きな上昇となる。日本のパート従業員のシェアの大きさを考えると、これは大きな消費拡大要因となるだろう。」

      ドイツのメッツラー銀行は、「日本のデフレの終焉」と題して、日本の銀行貸し出しがこのところ月間2%も伸びていること、労働市場が堅調で(2月の失業率は3.6%、有効求人倍率は1.15倍)賃金が上昇していることから、いずれインフレ率は2%に達する(メッツラー投資顧問のチーフ・エコノミスト、エドガー・ウォーク氏)、と見ている。

      カンヌでのMIPIMでは、何故いま投資するのか?という欧州投資家の質問に対し、素晴らしい論点と事実が呈示された。

      5月の日本におけるMIPIMでは、日本での投資機会、投資方法、具体的は投資実現方法が議論の焦点になるだろう。

      建造キャピタル株式会社は、カンヌにおけるMIPIMと同様、日本におけるMIPIMに貢献できますことを大変な栄誉と思い、これをお手伝いさせて頂きます。我々は欧州投資家の皆様の日本市場への参入のお手伝いができることを心待ちにしております。

    16. 2015-03-24

      Immobilienwirtschaft Japan auf globaler Bühne – Dem erfolgreichen Auftreten in Cannes folgt nun MIPIM Japan

      Kenzo

      “Von vielen noch wenig wahrgenommen oder nicht in ihrer vollen Dimension erfasst, erlebt Japan derzeit eine bemerkenswerte Globalisierungswelle. Dabei unterscheiden sich Perspektiven, Gewichte und Prioritäten japanischer Unternehmen zunehmend von europäischen. Mit großem Nachdruck und beeindruckender Geschwindigkeit bauen sie ihre Positionen in neuen Zielmärkten aus.” so zu lesen in einem Papier des Delegierten der Deutschen Wirtschaft in Japan, Manfred Hoffmann, Geschäftsführer der Deutschen Industrie- und Handelskammer Japan.

      Dies gilt auch für die Immobilienindustrie. Nach Verstärkung der Engagements in Europa und Amerika durch Unternehmen wie Mitsui Fudosan oder Mitsubishi Estate gilt das starke Interesse dem Ausbau der Aktivitäten in Asien. Neben dem Landmark Projekt ‘Shanghai World Financial Center’ von Mori Building gibt es eine Vielzahl von Projektentwicklungen und Investitionen in vielen Ländern Asiens. Vor ein paar Tagen konnte das von Sekisui House Ltd. in Sydney entwickelte ‘One Central Park Building’ auf der MIPIM den ‘Best Innovative Green Building’ Award gewinnen.

      Dieser Trend, Investments und Entwicklungen im Ausland zu tätigen wird sich weiter verstärken. Laut Herrn Umeda, Managing Direktor & CEO, Mitsubishi Estate London Limited, will Mitsubishi Estate den Auslandsanteil der Investments bis 2020 von derzeit 10% auf 20% erhöhen; so dargestellt bei einer Podiumsdiskussion innerhalb des Konferenzbeitrags ‘Focus on Japan’ auf der MIPIM.

      Auf der gleichen Veranstaltung stellte Herr Ishii, Vizeminister für Land, Infrastruktur, Transport und Tourismus Japan, neben Megaprojekten der Infrastruktur zusätzlich über 20 Großprojekte vor, die allein für die Stadt Tokyo in Planung sind. “Diese Projekte sind genehmigt und das Land steht zur Verfügung. Die Projekte werden allesamt ab jetzt sehr viel Geld benötigen.” so Herr Ishii auf der Veranstaltung.

      Premierminister Abe motiviert Pensionskassen und Lebensversicherer erfolgreich zu höheren Allokation von Risikoanlagen innerhalb der Investmentportfolios dieser Kapitalsammelstellen. Ein Teil diese Gelder wird in den Immobilienmarkt fließen, aber Japan ist sehr intensiv auch um das ausländische Investment bemüht.

      Veranstaltungen wie diejenigen auf der MIPIM und ganz besonders die im Mai (20. und 21. Mai) in Tokyo stattfindende MIPIM Japan dienen dem Zweck, für Japaninvestments zu werben. Die Wachstumsstrategie der Regierung Abe setzt auch auf Investitionen aus dem Ausland als einem der wesentlichen Pfeiler der Politik. Die ‘Buy Japan’ Initiative des Ministerpräsidenten wird mittlerweile von der Administration umgesetzt.

      So führte zum Beispiel Vize Minister Ishii auf der MIPIM in Cannes eine 120 köpfige Delegation aus Japan an, um für die seitens des Ministeriums gesponserte MIPIM Japan zu werben.

      Shuji Tomikawa, Managing Officer, Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd., ab 1. April Präsident Mitsui Fudosan Investment Advisors, Inc., pries auf dem ‘Japan Breakfast’ in Cannes: “Das Thema ‘Cross-Border’ Investments wird eines von 4 Kernelementen der MIPIM Japan sein.” In seiner Präsentation stellte Tomikawa dar, dass der Anteil ausländischer Investments am japanischen Transaktionsvolumen nach 7 Monaten im Finanzjahr 2014 (Nov. 2014; Finanzjahr: 4/2014 bis 3/2015) fast 19% erreichte. Damit dieser Anteil beständig bleibt bzw. steigt, soll MIPIM Japan Plattform für einen offenen Dialog über Investmentmöglichkeiten und Produktzugang werden.

      Zur Wirtschaft Japans

      Jesper Koll, Managing Direktor, Head of Equity Research, JP Morgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd. sieht in der Alterspyramide Japans eine für die Wirtschaft positive Wende. “Die ‘Mick Jagger’ Baby Boomer Generation die wegen altersbedingter rückgängiger Gehälter auf das Haushaltseinkommen gedrückt hat, ist nun aus dem Arbeitsprozess ausgeschieden. Die nächste Generation mit einem starken Bevölkerungsanteil (die jetzt 40/45-jährigen) sieht wachsenden Gehältern entgegen.” Weiter führte Herr Koll auf der ‘Japan Breakfast’ Veranstaltung aus, dass Unternehmen zunehmend dazu übergehen, Teilzeitarbeitsverhältnisse durch direkte Festanstellungen zu ersetzen. Dadurch stehen diesen Arbeitnehmern deutlich höhere Gehälter zur Verfügung. Angesichts des hohen Anteils von Teilzeitbeschäftigung am Arbeitsmarkt ist auch dies eine wesentliche Entwicklung zur Stärkung der privaten Einkommen und des privaten Konsums.

      Das Bankhaus Metzler fasst unter der Schlagzeile “Das Ende der Deflation in Japan” zusammen:
      “Die Kreditvergabe verzeichnet schon seit Monaten ein Wachstum von monatlich 2% und Löhne steigen wieder, darüber hinaus ist der Arbeitsmarkt in einer soliden Verfassung (Arbeitslosenanteil im Februar 3,5%; offene Stellen zu Arbeitsuchenden 1,15). Dementsprechend hat sich die Inflation auf über 2% eingependelt.”
      (Edgar Walk, Chefvolkswirt, Metzler Asset Management GmbH, Frankfurt am Main)

      Willkommen zur MIPIM Japan

      Auf der MIPIM in Cannes wurde die Frage “Why to invest now” mit viele überzeugenden Argumenten und Fakten beantwortet.

      Auf der MIPIM Japan im Mai wird es darum gehen, Wege und Möglichkeiten zum Investment in Japan darzustellen, zu diskutieren und Schritte der Umsetzung zu vereinbaren.

      Kenzo Capital Corporation wird ebenso wie auf der MIPIM in Cannes auch bei der Vorbereitung und Ausführung der MIPIM Japan gestaltend mitwirken. Wir freuen uns auf die kommenden Gespräche und Diskussionen und auf die gemeinsame Umsetzung der Ergebnisse.

    17. 2015-03-24

      Property Market Japan at the Global Stage – The successful Japanese presentation at Cannes is now being followed by MIPIM Japan

      Kenzo

      “Unrecognized by many or at least not noticed in its full dimension, Japan is experiencing a remarkable globalization wave. Perspectives, weight and priorities develop increasingly different from those of European companies. With high emphasis and speed Japanese companies expand their positions in target markets, especially in Asia.” from a paper of the delegate of the German business community, Mr Manfred Hoffmann, Managing Director German Chambers of Commerce in Japan

      The same is true for the real estate industry of Japan. Following a strengthening of the business in Europe and the US by companies like Mitsui Fudosan and Mitsubishi Estate, further investment and development focus is put on Asia. Besides the landmark development ‘Shanghai World Financial Centre’ by Mori Building many further investments and developments have been made and many more are to come to Asian and Pacific markets. A few days ago, Sekisui House Ltd. won the ‘Best Innovative Green Building’ Award at MIPIM for its ‘One Central Park Building’ development in Sydney.

      This trend of foreign investments and developments is going to grow further. According to Naoki Umeda, Managing Director & CEO, Mitsubishi Estate London Ltd., Mitsubishi Estate plans to increase the share of foreign investments from 10% to 20% by 2020, as stated in a panel discussion during the ‘Focus on Japan’ conference at MIPIM.

      At the same conference event, Mr Kisaburo Ishii, Vice Minister of Land, Infrastructure, Transportation and Tourism introduced over 20 large ‘landmark’ projects only for Tokyo alone, besides several mega infrastructure projects. “Each of these projects has its development position established and land the land bought but needs a lot of money from now on.” said Mr Ishii at the conference.

      Prime Minister Abe successfully motivates pensions funds and insurance firms to increase their allocation to risk assets within their investment portfolio, part of such investments will benefit the real estate sector.

      Nevertheless Japan is intensively approaching foreign investors to participate.

      At MIPIM Japan informed about the real estate market during three conferences and various presentations at the Japan Pavilion, including one by Mr Yoshifumi Iitsuka, Director at Tokyo Metropolitan Government, on Tokyo’s plans as a world financial centre. Events like these and MIPIM Japan in May (20th to 21st) demonstrate the intention to promote the Japanese market for investments. The growth strategy of the Abe government is based on foreign investments as one major pillar. The ‘Buy Japan’ initiative of the Prime Minister is being followed up by the administration actively supporting measures that lead to increased interaction between Japan and foreign investors and professionals.

      Vice Minister Ishii taking leadership of a 120-member delegation from Japan at MIPIM and Ministry for Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism sponsoring the MIPIM Japan convention in May are concrete examples.

      Shuji Tomikawa (Managing Officer, Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd.; President Mitsui Fudosan Investment Advisors, Inc. from April 1st, 2015) promoted MIPIM Japan during ‘Japan Breakfast’ at MIPIM: ” ‘Cross-Border Investments (Inbound and Outbound)’, will become one of 4 key subjects at MIPIM Japan.” In his presentation he explained that in the first 7 months of the fiscal year 2014 (Nov. 2014: FY 4/2014 to 3/2015) foreign investments had a share of close to 19% of the total transaction volume in Japan. In order to maintain and increase this share MIPIM Japan will provide the platform for an open dialogue about investment opportunities and product access.

      On the Japanese Economy:

      Jesper Koll, Managing Director, Head of Equity Research, JP Morgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd. sees the Japan age pyramid at a sweet spot. “The baby boomer ‘Mick Jagger’ generation that has been dragging the household income is no longer part of the countries labor force and the younger next generation with a large population share is approaching a stage of income growth.” He continued at the ‘Japan Breakfast’ at MIPIM that companies shift from part time employment to a stronger share of full time employees among their workforce. For the employees this results in very significant income rise. Considering the large share of part time workers among the Japanese working population this is another significant source of income growth likely to feed consumption growth.

      Germany’s Bankhause Metzler summarises under the headline “The end of deflation in Japan”:
      “For months bank lending volume has increased by 2% per month and wages have grown, the labour market is in a solid situation (unemployment in February 3,5% and ratio of open positions to job applications stands at 1.15%). Consequently inflation reached over 2%.”
      (Edgar Walk, Chef Economist, Metzler Asset Management GmbH, Frankfurt am Main)

      During MIPIM in Cannes the question “Why to invest now” has been answered with good arguments and facts.

      At MIPIM Japan in May the focus will be on discussions about opportunities and ways to invest in Japan and on concrete measures of execution.

      Kenzo Capital Corporation will proudly assist the shaping of MIPIM Japan in a same manner as at MIPIM in Cannes. We are looking forward to guiding the discussions on the market entry and to supporting the execution of resulting possible investments.

    18. 2015-02-23

      Detailed GDP Information suggests Japan’s Economy is now out of tax hike shock and of deflation

      Kenzo

      The flash Q4 real GDP released on February 16, 2015 shows an annualised growth rate of 2.2%. Of particular note is that nominal GDP growth rate is now annualized 4.5%, and GDP deflator is +0.5% compared with -0.3% in Q3 and +1.9% in Q2. While deflator may still be affected by consumption tax hike in last April, the trend of deflator and strong nominal GDP show that Japan is on track out of deflation.

      Household spending (Consumption and Investment) contributed 1.0%, compared with 0.1% contribution in Q3. It seems the drag in household investment due to consumption tax hike is also finally over. Net export contribution is robust 0.8%, thanks to strong export (up 2.7% from previous quarter) and not so strong import (up 1.3% from previous quarter). Weaker yen and cheaper crude oil price finally bear fruit in Japan.

      The drag in GDP growth is a result of a too early tax rate hike

      As the above table clearly shows, the drag in GDP growth is the result of too early consumption tax hike. Prime Minister Abe understood this and called election on December 14 with Mr Abe and his party ‘asking for a mandate’ to postpone the second step of a consumption tax hike from October 2015 to April 2017 and the election result was overwhelmingly supportive to Prime Minister Abe and his economic policy. As uncertainty over consumption tax has cleared, Japanese economy is now on track to robust growth in 2015.

      Japanese fiscal condition is improving due to higher tax revenue

      Though many international observers of Japan argue that Japan should reduce its public debt, which stands at close to 2.5 times GDP (Japan’s net debt though stands at 140%), this issue cannot be the centre of economic attention at present. Japan’s debt is financed almost exclusively internally (by Japanese investors).

      It is important to note that the public debt can also be reduced by nominal GDP growth and resulting tax revenue increase rather than tax rate hike. On February 10, the Japanese government (ministry of finance) announced that nominal government debt as of the end of 2014 is JPY 1,029 trillion, JPY 9 trillion decline from the previous quarter end (Sept. 2014). The consumption tax hike contributes at most JPY 2 trillion in 3 months. Thus decline in public debt is due mostly by tax revenue increase due to higher nominal growth rate.

      Corporate Expansion Plans continue to stimulate Office Rents in Tokyo

      Rent for new space in Class A buildings continued to grow since 2Q 2012. The average year on year growth rate from the same quarter the year before was 11 % for the time Q2 2012 to Q4 2014. With supply in the coming years a stable moderate levels and increase office space demand, we expect office rent to continue on its upwards trend.

      Investment Market: J-REITs continue to be the domination investor group throughout 2014, regardless of stronger demand from foreign investors. Investment returns compressed to 3.4% for prime Tokyo office and 4.0 to 4.5% for top Tokyo residential property and we expect such compression to continue during 2015 due to steady strong demand for investment products from J-REITs, private REITs and an increasing investment interest from foreign investors.

    19. 2014-12-02

      Detailed GDP Information suggest Japan’s Economy still on Track to Recovery

      Kenzo

      While the Q3 real GDP growth result at an annualised minus 1.6% leads to the initial interpretation that Japan may be in recession, a look at the details suggests differently.

      Household spending (Consumption and Investment) was up, though in aggregate only by a disappointing 0.1% and so was Government spending (contributing +0.7%) and Export (+0.3%).

      The overall result has been triggered mainly by a reduction in corporate inventory. Corporate Japan reduced inventory to balance the reduced private consumption that was dragged down after the April 1, 2014 consumption tax hike from 5% to 8%. Since inventory overall has decreased during 2014 it is generally expected that such inventory will increase again in Q4.

      On the other hand December salary bonus is expected to be the highest in 5 years. Japanese corporate pay salary bonuses of 1.5 to 4 month of salary equivalent twice a year (June and December) depending on corporate business developments.
      Consequently we can expect a further stimulation of household consumption and investment as a result of the increased available income of private households.

      The drag in GDP growth is a result of a too early tax rate hike

      The government under Prime Minister Abe has understood the message and reacted. The parliament has been dissolved, elections will take place on December 14 with Mr Abe and his party ‘asking for a mandate’ to postpone the second step of a consumption tax hike from October 2015 to April 2017 and for the economic policy under Mr Abe called ‘Abenomics’.

      Though many international observers of Japan argue that Japan should reduce its public debt, which stands at close to 2.5 times GDP (Japan’s net debt though stands at 140%), this issue cannot be the centre of economic attention at present. Japan’s debt is financed almost exclusively internally (by Japanese investors). Japan needs to focus on the denominator of such debt to GDP ratio. The economic policy therefore has to focus on growth and controlled inflation. With the private and the corporate sector trusting in the economic policy and the likelihood of the policy to achieve its target, private households will spend and corporate will invest.

      Corporate Expansion Plans stimulate Office Space Search in Tokyo

      The result of a annual survey on office needs in Tokyo, by Japanese developer Mori Building shows that for the first time in 5 years Expansion is the top reason for companies to search for new office space. In past years the dominating reasons were rent expenses (no. 1 reason in 2009 to 2011; now no. 4) seismic design.

      We trust that Q4 2014 figures will confirm that the economic growth is on track.

      First indicators are encouraging: The industrial output published on Friday November 29 showed an improvement by 0.2% over the previous month. This is the forth increase in a row. Experts expect a further increase by 2.3% in November. Consumption improved during October by 0.9% from the previous month. Also here figures confirmed an improvement over 3 month in a row, although consumption was still 4% below the previous year’s figure. We expect consumption to increase further, with December’s salary bonus expected at a 5 year high and the plan of the government to postpone the next hike of consumption tax by 18 months.

    20. 2014-07-29

      Land der steigenden Löhne

      Kenzo

      Die Gesamtlohnzahlungen (Durchschnittslohnzahlung pro Kopf x Zahl der Beschäftigten) sind in Japan im Mai binnen Jahresfrist um 1,4% gestiegen, die Nominallöhne sind um 0.8% gestiegen. Obwohl dies bedeutet, dass die Beschäftigten bei einer Inflation von derzeit 2,3% (Juni Kerninflation) an Kaufkraft verlieren, so versprechen die Daten des Arbeitsmarktes ein weiteres Steigen der Löhne und Gehälter. Das Verhältnis von Stellensuchenden zu offenen Stellen liegt bei 1,10 nach 1,09 im Vormonat. Dies ist der höchste Stand seit 22 Jahren. Auf 100 Stellensuchende kommen 110 freie Stellen. Zwar zeigen die am 29. Juli veröffentlichten Arbeitslosenzahlen einen Anstieg der Arbeitslosenrate von 3,5% auf 3,7% für Juni 2014, jedoch ist dieser Anstieg in der Zunahme der Arbeitssuchenden begründet, die eine Verbesserung der Arbeitsmarktkonditionen erwarten. Insbesondere melden sich vermehrt Frauen arbeitssuchend, motiviert durch die Politik der Abe Regierung, die Frauen im Job und in der Karriere unterstützen soll.

    21. 2014-07-29

      Land of rising Wages

      Kenzo

      As of May 2014 total wages (average wage per capita x number of employees) in Japan increased by 1.4%, while nominal wages increased by 0.8% compared to May 2013. Although this means that employees are losing out at an inflation rate of 2.3% (June core inflation rate) job data looks favorable for further wage improvements as corporate need to compete for employees. Job-to-applicant ratio further improved to 1.10 from 1.09, the highest in 22 years. Results released on July 29 show unemployment at 3.7% as of June 2014. The increase in unemployment by 0.2% (from 3.5%) is due to an increase in job applicants as they see the labor market conditions improving. Especially women starting to look for jobs, encouraged by the Abe administration to enter the job market and seek a carrier.

    22. 2014-07-14

      Robuste Wirtschaftszahlen lassen auf anhaltendes Wachstum hoffen

      Kenzo

      Im ersten Quartal 2014 ist die Wirtschaft Japans um nominal 6,7% gewachsen. Mit dieser Korrektur der Regierung wurden erste Berichtszahlen von einem Wachstum von 5,9% ebenso deutlich übertroffen wie Markterwartungen, die von einem Wachstum von 5,6% ausgingen.
      Für das zweite Quartal des Jahres wird allerdings aufgrund der Umsatzsteuererhöhung von 5% auf 8% zum 1. April mit einem Rückgang der Wirtschaftsleistung von 4,9% gerechnet. Privater Konsum, Unternehmensnachfrage und auch der Wohnungsneubau leiden unter der Steuererhöhung. Die Bank von Japan bleibt zuversichtlich und rechnet mit einem Wachstum von 1,0% für das Wirtschaftsjahr April 2014 bis März 2015, sowie mit einem Wachstum von 1,5 für das anschließende Wirtschaftsjahr 2015 und 1,3% Wachstum für 2016. Gleichzeitig erwartet die Notenbank für das Wirtschaftsjahr 2014 eine Inflation von 1,3% (Bereinigt um den Effekt der Steuererhöhung, 1.9% für das Wirtschaftsjahr 2015 und 2,1% für 2016).

    23. 2014-07-14

      Robust growth lifts hopes for Japan’s economy

      Kenzo

      Real GDP for the first quarter of 2014 is estimated at plus 6.7% p.a., up from an initial reading of a 5.9 percent rise and above market expectations for a 5.6 percent rise.
      However, economist’s consensus on the second quarter (Apr-Jun 14) is estimated at minus 4.9%. Consumption, industrial shipments, housing starts are weak due to consumption tax hike in April 2014. The Bank of Japan remains confident about the economic growth for the fiscal year March 2014 to March 2015 at 1.0 percent and a growth of 1.5% for 2015 and 1.3% for 2016. At the same time it forecasts an inflation (excluding the effect of the tax hike) of 1.3 percent this year, 1.9 percent in 2015 and 2.1 percent in 2016.

    24. 2014-04-08

      Japans Lebensversicherer suchen in großem Stil nach Möglichkeiten von Immobilieninvestments

      Kenzo

      Die Nikkei Finanztageszeitung berichtet darüber, dass japanische Lebensversicherer nachdrücklich nach Möglichkeiten für Immobilieninvestments suchen.

      Nach dem Bericht hat Daiichi Life sechs Wohnimmobilien für JPY 12 Milliarden gemeinsam mit Goldman Sachs erworben. Die erwartete Rendite liegt bei knapp unter 4%. Zwar liegt die Rendite damit unterhalb dessen was derzeit für Büroimmobilien erwartet wird, Daiichi Life bevorzugt aber die langfristige Stabilität des Cash Flow aus Wohnimmobilien und die weniger komplexe Möglichkeit der Diversifikation des Portfolios von Wohnimmobilien im Vergleich zur Büroimmobilie. Daichi Life plant in den kommenden 2 bis 3 Jahren ein Portfolio von Wohnimmobilien im Werte von JPY 100 Milliarden aufzubauen.

      Nippon Life dagegen hat gemeinsam mit dem großen Bauunternehmen Obayashi eine Landparzelle für die Entwicklung eines Büros gekauft. Die Entwicklungskosten werden JPY 80 Milliarden betragen. Außerdem hat der Versicherer in ein Logistikprojekt in einer Stadtrandlage von Tokyo investiert.

    25. 2014-04-08

      Japanese life insurers recommenced real estate investment in serious manner

      Kenzo

      Nikkei Newspaper posted an article stating that Japanese life insurers are seriously looking for opportunities for developing and investing real estate properties as an investment alternative.

      According to the article, Daiichi Life acquired six rental apartment properties in Tokyo for JPY 12 billion, jointly with Goldman Sachs. The price tag of each property ranges from several hundred million to JPY 3 billion. They envisage investment yield of high 3% handle. They believe that, although investment yield of rental apartment properties is relatively low compared with office property, they are relatively stable and easy to diversify because of each size being relatively small. They envisage in enlarging the rental apartment investment to JPY 100 billion in 2 to 3 years.

      On the other hand, Nippon Life, together with Obayashi, a major constructor, acquired a land parcel in Tokyo for developing office property for JPY 80 billion. They also acquired a logistic property in suburban Tokyo.

    26. 2014-03-20

      Tightening labor market shows effects, First Retailing converts 16,000 part time workers to full-time employees

      Kenzo

      Nikkei Newspaper posted an article stating that First Retailing, Japan’s largest casual wear retailer running Uni Qlo stores, will start converting their 16,000 part time workers to full-time employees in the coming 2 to 3 years commencing this April. First Retailing currently employs approximately 30,000 part time workers in 850 Uni Qlo stores in Japan. Thus, the plan is to secure about half of their part time workers by providing better compensation in view of forthcoming labor shortage.

      The rationale behind such a move is the current tightening of labor market in Japan due to improving business sentiment. According to a survey by Recruit Jobs, an employment agency, average hourly wage of part-time workers increased by 0.4% in January to JPY 948 per hour, highest in record. This is 7th consecutive increase on a month-over-month basis.

      Other retailers such as Starbucks Coffee follow such a move. They decided to convert 800 contracted workers to full time employees.

    27. 2014-03-03

      Sovereign Wealth Funds have been aggressively investing in equities of Japanese Companies; Norwegian fund doubled its holdings

      Kenzo

      Nikkei Newspaper posted an article stating that sovereign wealth funds have been expanding the holdings of equities of Japanese companies in the past one year. According to the article, their investment scope is mostly long-term and they view Abenomics as positive for the restructuring of Japanese companies and for enhancing potential growth rate of Japan.

      Of particular note is the Norwegian Wealth Fund. It is one of the largest sovereign wealth funds in the world with total AUM equivalent to over JPY 80 trillion. According to the disclosure by Norwegian Central Bank, their holdings of equities of Japanese companies amounted to JPY 3.77 trillion as of the end of 2013, almost doubled compared to JPY 1.94 trillion one year ago. Their holdings include Toyota (JPY 161.3 billion) and Softbank (JPY 120 billion)

      Other sovereign wealth funds such as SAMA (Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority) and GIC (Government Investment Corporation of Singapore) are also aggressive in Japanese equities. SAMA held JPY 230 billion of Japanese equities as of September 2013, the amount doubled within 6 months. GIC held JPY 100 billion as of September 2013.

    28. 2013-10-01

      Mobile telecom entrepreneur Mr. Son acquires Tiffany Ginza for JPY 32 Billion

      Kenzo

      Reuters and Nikkei newspaper reported that Mr. Masayoshi Son, the founder and CEO of Softbank, a major telecom carrier, bought “Tiffany Ginza Building” in Ginza, CBD Tokyo for JPY 32 Billion. It is the landmark property that Tiffany, US based upscale jeweler, operates their flagship store in Tokyo. Judging from the purchase price, cap rate is estimated to be approximately 2.6%. Thus, this acquisition is believed to be the most expensive investment since the recovery of real estate price commenced early this year. The last time cap rate dropped below 3% was 2006-2007. Market observers believe that only none institutional investors can afford to pay such high price.

      Back in 2007, a fund arranged by Goldman Sachs acquired the subject property for JPY 38 billion. Due to the bank loan default, ownership moved to creditor banks. Thereafter in 2010, Asia Pacific Land (APL) acquired it from creditor banks. In June of this year, APL announced the sale of the property, and several investor groups, including some sovereign wealth fund, participated in the auction.

    29. 2013-09-09

      Tokyo chosen to host the Olympic Games 2020

      Kenzo

      Charm and a convincing Concept win the 2020 Summer Olympic Games at the 125th IOC Session for Tokyo.

      Tokyo will become the first Asian city to host the Olympic games for a second time, after the first successful games were held in Tokyo in 1964.
      The plan, to hold over 85% of the competitions and build the Olympic village within a radius of 8 km in the heart of Tokyo, together with the already committed US$ 4.5 billion in funding from the Tokyo Metropolitan and corporate Japan convinced the voting IOC members.
      In his final appeal Prime Minister Abe stated: “One of the safest cities in the world now and in 2020. Some may have been concerned about Fukushima. Let me assure you, the situation is under control. It has never done and will never do any damage to Tokyo.”

      At Kenzo Capital Corporation we are very happy about this decision. The greatest sporting event will is going to come to one of the world’s major centres of technology, finance, and trade. In our November ‘Market Outlook Japan’ we shall address the potential stimulation of the economy and real estate market through the effects of a further improvements of an already leading public infrastructure and attractive new facilities. Further we shall provide access to information platforms on ‘Tokyo 2020’ from our homepage.

      Link to Tokyo2020 homepage

    30. 2013-08-19

      European public pension funds allocate funds for Investments in Japan

      Kenzo

      Nikkei newspaper reported that, in June, FRR, one of the French public pension funds, announced to allocate EUR 400 million (JPY 52 billion) exclusively for Japanese equity and to publicly look for retaining asset managers. In July, a Dutch pension fund also decided to allocate funds exclusively for Japanese small cap stocks. A Swedish pension fund invested in the Japanese equity fund managed by Sumitomo Mitsui Trust in March. According to Sumitomo Mitsui Trust, it is quite remarkable that several foreign pension funds publicly look for Japanese equity asset managers in such a short period. On top of European pension funds, Middle East funds are also increasing their asset allocation to Japanese equity.

      Data on Tokyo Stock Exchange shows that net acquisition by foreign investors, i.e. acquisition minus disposal, reached JPY 9 trillion in January-July of this year, three times as large as that of the whole last year. Although there is periodical sell-off such as first two weeks of August, sellers are mostly hedge funds. It is noteworthy that long-term investors such as foreign public pension funds get bullish in Japanese equity.

© 2020 Kenzo Capital Corporation

design by Connect Inc. Tokyo

RSS feed for Kenzo Capital Corporation