Kenzo Capital Coporation

Great Success for the first MIPIM Japan coincides with solid economic development news

The inaugural MIPIM Japan in Tokyo on May 20/21 attracted more than 2,500 attendees from 30 countries. 335 investors and delegates from financial institutions focused their attention on the real estate investment opportunities available in Japan. 596 companies were represented, including some 222 from outside Japan.
It was by far the largest real estate specific event devoted to the Japanese real estate market. The success will confirm the organizer (Reed Midem) in its strategy to establish MIPIM Japan as an annual event.

Prior to MIPIM Japan a Japan German Real Estate Investment Round Table Meeting, engaging representatives of the Japanese real estate elite and German real estate investors was hosted by the German Chamber of Commerce in Japan, initiated by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism was organized and moderated by Dr. Meyer zu Brickwedde, President and CEO of Kenzo Capital Corporation.
Link: Japan Journal & Japanmarkt

Transaction volume in FY 2014 close to 2007 record high with foreign investments sharing 23% of the transaction volume

According to Urban Research Institute, a Mizuho Group company, the real estate transaction volume during the fiscal year 2014 (April 2014 – March 2015), reached to JPY 5,289 Billion. It increased by 15 % compared to 2013 and thereby was almost at 2007 record volume (JPY 5,328 Billion) and the highest after 2007.
Foreign Investor’s acquisition volume went up from JPY 429 Billion to JPY 1,195 Billion in 2014, the share of foreign investments increased from 10 % to 23 %. Among those foreign investments Germans accounted for JPY 60 Billion, mainly from institutional investors. J-REITs purchased properties worth JPY 1,804 Billion, down by 4 %. Its share decreased from 42 % to 34 %.
Noteworthy transactions: GIC from Singapore bought Pacific Century Place Marunouchi, a Class S office building in the Tokyo CBD, at a price of JPY 170 Billion from a fund managed by PAG in Hong Kong, who acquired Commerzbank’s real estate finance subsidiary in Japan last year, that had originally financed the property. Blackstone Group from the US acquired a nationwide portfolio of residential properties from General Electric Group at JPY 200 Billion. Mori Trust, a Japanese developer, bought Meguro Gajoen, a complex consisting of offices and a hotel outside the Tokyo CBD, at JPY 130 Billion from Lone Star Group of the US. The US investment group Green Oak bought Aoyama Building, a Class B office building in the central Tokyo, at a price of JPY 46 Billion from a fund managed by Mitsubishi Estate Investment Advisor.

Interview: Vice Minister for Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Ishii Kisaburo about real estate investment in Japan, the government’s policies for urban development
Link: Interview Vice Minister Ishii

Q1 2015 real GDP (seasonally adjusted) was up by 3.9% on an annual rate, compared to +1.1% in Q4 2014.


Japan annualized GDP change compared to previous Quarter and annualized contribution by sector

Q1 GDP released on June 8, 2015: corporate investment contributed 2.4%, compared with -0.8% contributions in Q4. It seems the drag in investments, both in residential and non-residential, that followed the consumption tax hike in April 2014, is finally over and its contribution turned distinctly positive. Net export contribution is -0.7% due to strong import. The trend of economic activity is clearly positive. Even after deduction of inventory and net export, final demand of Japanese economy is up 2.3%. Large inventory pile-up in Q1 may not be a bad sign. It could be interpreted as positive mind-setting among corporate sector given strong corporate investment.

Japanese Exports increased 8.2% in April 2015 while trade balance in April 2015 was negative with JPY 53 billion, compared to the surplus of JPY 227 billion in March

Released in May 25, 2015: Exports were up 8.2% from the same month last year (JPY 6,551 Billion). Since September 2014 monthly exports have been up from the same month one year ago. Monthly imports have been lower compared to last year’s months since January due to weaker oil prices. From here on, we expect imports to increase due to stronger domestic demand and higher oil prices.

Japan’s tax revenues up in FY2014 by 12,5% hitting a 17-year high for fiscal 2014 (ending March 2015)

According to NHK News on June 1, 2015, Japan’s tax revenues rose to a record high in over 17 years, benefitting partially from a hike in consumption tax that has been raised in April 2014 from 5% to 8%. Consumption tax revenues were up by 30%, but also income tax revenues increased by 8.2% and corporate tax revenues were higher by 14.8%. Income and corporate tax together contribute over 50% to the tax income of the Japanese government. The positive development of tax income in both areas will support the government’s intention to postpone a further consumption tax hike.

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